Lotto 649 is a Canadian lottery that has 49 numbers and is based on selecting 6 of those without replacing them each time.
A common question with the lottery is “Does order matter?” Calculate the number of ways to draw the numbers if order did matter. Reflect on whether or not this would create more or less ways if order didn’t matter. Consider the size of the number you calculated and the probability of getting the 1 order that would win.
A permutation is a way of arranging a set of r objects from a larger set of n objects. Requiring you to decide how many ways can go in each slot, it assumes that order matters.
A combination is a way of choosing/grouping a set of r objects from a larger set of n objects. It is very similar to a permutation with one major difference; order does not matter in a combination.
Consider the following example. 6 people have 6!=720 ways of being arranged in a side by side picture.
There is only 1 way of putting all 6 people in a group when order does not matter.
The group of people (combination) can be arranged in 720 ways.
The permutation (definition:Ways to arrange for the picture.) is
where we have 6 people (n) and are arranging all 6 (r) .
The combination (definition:Ways to choose the people to make a group where order doesn't matter.) is written
and is read “6 choose 6” where we have 6 people and are putting all 6 in a group.
The one combination can be ordered 720 ways.
Angela, Brian, Christian, Diana, and Edward are students at your school.
= 5 x 4 x 3 = 60
= 10Notice that there are 6 times more permutations than combinations. There are 3! = 6 ways to arrange the combinations.
Consider another example. Say you had 13 ingredients for a soup.
Compare your solution to the given solution below.
or 13 x 12 x 11 = 1716 possible orders.
=
= 286The following video will help you visualize combinations and will summarize it with a helpful formula:
In general, the number of ways of choosing/grouping a set of r objects from a larger set of n objects where order doesn't matter is:
For each of the following scenarios, determine if it is a permutation or combination and answer the associated questions. You may use the interactive calculator to help.
If you calculate the ways of drawing 6 numbers from 49 in order you would get
= 10,068,347,520 giving a probability of 1 in 10 billion, 68 million, 347 thousand and 520 chance. This means, if your numbers were 4, 8, 15, 16, 23, 42 and the numbers came up in the order 8, 23, 16, 4, 42, 15, you wouldn't win!
The other problem with that is, they don’t sell 10 billion tickets each week (it is a Canadian lottery). The probability of winning the lottery is very unlikely, but requiring order would make it nearly impossible.

If we divided
by 6! ways of ordering each group of 6 numbers (thus removing the order) you get
= 13, 983,816. There is still a very small chance that you will get the one combination to win, but it is a much better chance than if order mattered! Order is not a requirement to win the lottery.
In previous activities you have seen that the slot method is used to create compound events by multiplying the number of ways of doing each individual event. Combinations are considered compound events and are calculated from permutations and/or factorials. Now, if you wanted to perform two compound events you can still use the fundamental counting principle. It is essential to calculating probabilities with combinations, which you will practice more in the next activity.
When drawing 5 cards from a standard deck of 52 cards, what is the probability of drawing 3 fives?
If you wanted to find the number of ways to draw 3 fives from a deck of 52 cards you would use
because you are specifically drawing 3 from the 4 fives.
Since you are drawing 2 other cards as well, you would have to draw those 2 from the other 48:
.
Also, you are choosing 5 cards from 52 total. So, for probability n(S) = 
Putting these together, you get n(A) =
and 
What is the probability of matching 4 of the 6 numbers in Lotto 649? Reflect in your Portfolio on how comfortable you are calculating combinations.
where there are 4 winning numbers and 2 losing numbers.
As you have seen, combinations allow you to start looking at different types of scenarios and calculate probabilities that can be used to inform decisions. One of those situations is the number of ways to travel through a city.
You are travelling through town and want to know how many ways there are to travel 4 blocks south and 3 blocks east. To save time, you will only travel south and east. At each intersection, you ask “How many ways to get to that intersection?” Watch the following video, paying close attention to the numbers created.
Below is a single slide containing multiple steps. Each time you click another step is revealed. To move through all the steps at your own pace, repeatedly click on the slide itself, the right and left arrow icons on the player or the arrow keys on your keyboard. Click the full screen button on the player if you prefer to see a larger version of the steps.
Does this pattern look familiar? Pascal’s triangle is created the same way.
So where do combinations come in?
Let’s solve the problem in a different way. To get to the destination, you need to go south 4 times and east 3 times. That is a total of 7 roads to follow between intersections. We need to “choose” 4 of them (order not mattering) to be south OR “choose” 3 of them to be east.


There are 35 ways to go through the city and arrive at your destination.
Analyze Pascal’s triangle to see if you can draw a link between the triangle and combinations.

Pascal’s triangle helps us understand the nature of combinations and allow us to calculate many combinations without having to go to a calculator. For example, it helps us understand that
and
are the same number. Record in Portfolio a reflection of the connection between Pascal’s triangle and combinations.

Use Pascal’s triangle to answer the following, then reflect on your answers and the link between combinations and Pascal’s triangle.




